Episode 2 - Prediction Markets Vs. Vegas
By Ben Golden on October 01, 2015
In Episode 2, Jack and Ben talk about Cultivate's exciting about-to-launch product, and discuss whether prediction markets are capable of beating Las Vegas odds, and forecasting models. They also assess their performance in Episode 1, and make picks for this weekend's NFL games.
Relevant links:
-
Link to Cultivate Forecasts
- Football Outsiders' model of which teams will make the NFL playoffs
-
FiveThirtyEight's NFL
predictions
- Ben's blog post for PredictWise comparing real- and play-money prediction markets
- Inkling Markets for week 4 NFL games
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